Week 14, Rivalry Week SEC Football Picks Against the Spread

Sep 13, 2014; Tuscaloosa, AL, USA; a general view of Bryant-Denny Stadium during the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Mandatory Credit: Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Betting on SEC football games, much like the season itself, is a marathon – not a sprint.

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This is an important thing to keep in mind following your worst performance of the year. Last week, our SEC football picks against the spread were winless for the very first time this season at 0-3-1.

We didn’t pick any of the four SEC-FCS cupcake games of the day – Eastern Kentucky at Florida, Charleston Southern at Georgia, Western Carolina at Alabama or Samford at Auburn, which left three league contests and a Sun Belt cupcake in Columbia.

South Alabama and South Carolina started the day for us, and the Gamecocks and Jaguars did exactly as Vegas predicted. The Gamecocks defeated USA 37-12 in a game they were favored to win by 25 following a late USA field goal that snatched away our best chance at a win and made the game a push. From there, things did not go well.

Ole Miss was a small favorite in Fayetteville with bowl eligibility on the line for the Razorbacks, and we took the Rebels, who were throttled 30-0. We also thought the favored Tennessee Volunteers would win and cover against Missouri, but the Tigers will not die and pulled out another upset on the road. Finally, it seemed impossible that the Mississippi State Bulldogs would cover a huge spread one week after having their dreams of a perfect season dashed. Instead, they blasted Vanderbilt 51-0 and we failed to collect on a single game for the first time in a weekend full of games.

Last Week ATS: 0-3-1

This Season ATS: 50-35-3 (58.8%)

Our 0-3-1 week pushed our season record to 50-35-3 (58.8%). That’s not a bad season’s worth of work (anything over 55% is profitable) but we want to offer advice that exceeds those expectations. With a strong rivalry week and upwards of 12 bowl games to pick, we can finish the season strong.

Line spreads are provided by Bovada and the rankings listed come from the College Football Playoff committee. We’ll have our 2014 Iron Bowl pick Saturday morning.

Next: LSU at Texas A&M