Saturday Selections: Week 6 SEC Picks Against the Spread
Sep 6, 2014; Knoxville, TN, USA; Tennessee Volunteers fans react during an Arkansas State Red Wolves third down during the second half at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee won 34 to 19. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports
Florida at Tennessee (-3), 11AM CT, SEC Network
Florida travels to Knoxville following a bye week. The Gators were drubbed two weeks ago at the hands of Alabama, and if it wasn’t for some fortunate turnovers, the score would have been much worse than the 42-21 final in Tuscaloosa.
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Aside from a shutout in the season opener against lowly Eastern Michigan, the Florida defense – by far the team’s strongest unit in 2013 – has not looked very good in 2014. They allowed 645 total yards to the Crimson Tide and 450 to Kentucky in the previous game and over the last two contests, the Gators have allowed 72 points as well.
Tennessee is 2-2, but gained some momentum last week with a close loss to Georgia. The Vols were 17-pount underdogs on the road, but kept the game close to the very end. Justin Worley looked better than he has all year – and perhaps played the best game of his career despite an arm injury that sidelined for a stretch – as the senior completed 23 of 35 passes for 264 yards and three touchdowns without an interception.
Like we say every week, the Vols have improved and they’ve increased the level of talent on the roster. With this game being played at Neyland Stadium (and with the crowd prepared t checkerboard the seating areas) Tennessee is favored, though the line opened at Florida -1.
However, I just don’t have faith in Tennessee yet. Florida has more talent, plus, they were off last week and have had two weeks to prepare. I like Florida to win in an outright upset.
Florida 28, Tennessee 27