Saturday Selections: Week 6 SEC Picks Against the Spread

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Sep 27, 2014; Columbia, SC, USA; South Carolina Gamecocks mascot “Cocky” dances in the end zone during the fourth quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Missouri wins in the final minutes 21-20 over South Carolina. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

South Carolina (-4) at Kentucky, 6:30PM CT, SEC Network

In what has to be the largest and most unexpected movement of the week, South Carolina is now only a four-point favorite after opening the week at -10. Yes, the Gamecocks have struggled this season, despite their win over Georgia in Week 3, and Kentucky is much improved this year compared to last. But, I’m beginning to wonder if someone knows something that I don’t know.

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South Carolina lost 21-20 at home to Missouri last week, which was shocking given the fact the Tigers suffered an embarrassing loss to Indiana the week prior. The Gamecocks actually looked better on defense last week than they have all year and allowed only 280 yards of total offense to Mizzou. Of course, it wasn’t enough.

Kentucky, on the other hand, was dominant on defense against Vanderbilt and shut out the Commodores’ offense (Vandy scored on a pick-six in the 17-7 game). The Wildcats surrendered only 184 yards of total offense, but based on how pathetic Vanderbilt has been this season, is that really all that impressive?

There’s something fishy going on with this game for the line to have so much movement. Usually when you have a feeling that something is too good to be true (like an SEC East contender just a four-point favorite over a perennial cellar dweller) it is. However, I just can’t see this game being nearly that close. Carolina has more talent across the board, and should win the game easily.

Of course, I may have said something similar last week…or the week before… Still, take the Gamecocks to cover.

South Carolina 31, Kentucky 24