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Saturday Selections: Week 12 SEC Football Picks Against the Spread

By Nicholas Ian Allen

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Nov 8, 2014; Baton Rouge, LA, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide wide receiver DeAndrew White (2) celebrates with teammates offensive lineman Ryan Kelly (70) and tight end Brian Vogler (84) after catching a touchdown against the LSU Tigers during the overtime of a game at Tiger Stadium. Alabama defeated LSU 20-13 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

#1 Mississippi State at #5 Alabama (-8.5), 2:30PM CT, CBS

What No. 1 ranked college football team has been the biggest underdog in the history of the game? If there’s been a bigger one than Mississippi State Saturday in Tuscaloosa, I can’t remember it. The Bulldogs are 9-0 and in the driver’s seat in the SEC West and the College Football Playoff committee rankings, and deserve their lofty status. However, it appears no one expects the to win Saturday against the 8-1 Alabama Crimson Tide. Few expect the game to even be close.

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    • State pulled off an impressive streak of three straight wins over top ten ranked teams earlier this year beating LSU, Texas A&M and Auburn, but the last three opponents have been the struggling Kentucky Wildcats, the still SEC winless Arkansas Razorbacks, and FCS opponent UT-Martin. The Bulldogs haven’t played great in the last three contests, but they haven’t had to.

    Alabama picked up a hard fought overtime victory against LSU last week, but the offense has struggled in the last six quarters the team has played. The playoff committee may have noticed, and chose TCU to leapfrog the Tide into the coveted No. 4 spot in the most recent rankings.

    Will that slight be added motivation for Alabama? They probably won’t need it. Winning takes care of itself, and doing so would put Nick Saban’s crew in a good position to win the conference title.

    But can they cover? Expect the Tide to win, but for Mississippi State to fight to the very end and keep it close.

    Alabama 30, Mississippi State 24

    Next: Kentucky at Tennessee

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