Week 13 SEC Football Picks Against the Spread

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Nov 15, 2014; Tuscaloosa, AL, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs quarterback Dak Prescott (15) carries the ball past Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Geno Smith (24), Trey DePriest (33) and Nick Perry (27) in the third quarter at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Vanderbilt at #4 Mississippi State (-30), 6:30PM CT, SEC Network

The Mississippi State Bulldogs played four games as the nation’s top ranked team, but their last was a 25-20 loss to Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Despite putting up 290 passing yards and leading the team with 82 yards on the ground, quarterback Dak Prescott did not play well in the loss. He threw three interceptions and part of the reason the Bulldogs dug themselves into an early hole the team couldn’t climb out of.

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Prescott and his teammates should be able to work out some frustration from the loss on the SEC’s worst team. The schedule makers did the Bulldogs a favor by slotting SEC East doormat Vanderbilt as this season’s cross-division rotating opponent. The Commodores are 3-7 overall, but are winless in conference play and rank at or near the bottom in nearly every statistical category among league teams.

That said, Vandy has showed some life lately. The ‘Dores are 2-2 in their last four games, they played Missouri tough on the road, but lost badly to Florida at home. They’ve had an extra week to prepare for Mississippi State and could take the Bulldogs by surprise early – especially if State has any sort of hangover effects. Expect MSU to pull away late and win by a lot – just not enough to cover.

Mississippi State 38, Vanderbilt 10

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